Correlation is not causation though. Better and more popular candidates are naturally going to attract more donations. Especially the corrupt donations from the rich who don’t care who wins and just want to curry favor with whoever will be in power.

I’m not saying it has no effect but it’s hard to tease apart exactly how much.

I do because I’ve read the research on which it was based. It’s complicated though, you should read the paper.

I would encourage you to read the actual research. It’s all documented there.

Absolutely. We are seeing some great civil resistance tactics in the anti-ICE protests right now. These are quite different from rallies where people just stand around, they are actually interfering with ICE and slowing down their abducitons. If enough people participated, they could shut them down altogether.

That said, it’s risky too. The police will retaliate with violence, which sucks if you are the recipient. But the imagery of peaceful protesters being attacked is great propaganda.

I think the research was done prior to that event. It’s a bit dated at this point.

Also, it’s a bit ambiguous how to count Hong Kong as a semi-autonomous region in China. Should you measure by percentage of Hong Kongers or percentage of Chinese? I might think the latter, since they’re subject to the force of that nation.

I assume you’re comparing this to rhetoric around cops. Cops are ideologically and organizationally unified with top down command structure and they protect one another even in cases of wrongdoing or violence.

Most modern protests are just random people who chose to show up. These are totally different situations.

This is an important question. I believe the research in question defined movements by the predominant tactic used, even if there was a small amount of violence.

So protests like the anti-ICE ones in LA would probably count as non-violent in the research.

Edit: Here is a more recent work by the same author that more directly engages with some of the questions and criticisms that emerged from their initial work the BBC article is discussing.

https://www.annualreviews.org/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-polisci-051421-124128

Sad to see another needless and largely unprovoked war. We’ll just have to hope the US stays out of this.

I just read some journalists are working on a list of ICE employees. Could be useful for this…

PSL sucks but come on is this really the most important take from this situation? Fascist attacks on freedom of speech and freedom of assembly are a threat to everyone, even if you don’t like who they’re targeting.

I think the comparison to Germany is apt, but the solidarity needed to resist this needs to start by setting aside some of these differences for now.

Is that really what’s being implied here? I feel like you’re unconsciously buying into this narrative that you have to support either Likud or Hamas when the morally correct position is neither.

Oh really? I thought that wouldn’t work for some reason. Maybe their instructions just confused me. I’m not very tech savvy for a lemming.

This is the one that requires the GameCube disc, right? Or is there a way around that?

Ironically I once owned that but it’s long since been lost.

People seem upset about this. I’m over here wondering wtf is an echo?

I don’t think it will be enough but I’ll be happy to be proven wrong.

But what kind of support are they going to offer that changes the outcome?

Won’t shed any tears for him but I wonder what this means for the balance of power in the Philippines? Will we see the rise of a new Marcos regime as potential rivals are targeted? This one comes with a pretty solid excuse in its international origin but I hope it’s not the start of something darker.

I know people like to pretend that every institution in the world is controlled by the US but this is certainly not true for the ICC.

That said, the US has maintained a very threatening posture towards the court so they might fear a reprisal even if they’re not directly controlled.

Honestly while Rubio sucks and it’s not really his place to say this, it’s hard to imagine any peace deal that doesn’t have involve territorial concessions. It’s up to Ukrainians to decide whether that or continuing the war is worse but I just don’t see any other options. Ultimately, Russia has to agree to end the war somehow.

I’ve not heard about this. Can you provide more information?