I’ve gone down that rabbit hole, looking over the FBI’s, statista’s, Brookings, and other published crime rates over the 14- years. Over that time the crime type fluctuations weren’t as drastic as the news or police departments would have you believe.

As an example here are the homicide rates for that time period:

Crime rates before George Floyd:

Homicide Based on the FBI Uniform Crime Reports data provided in the search results, the homicide rates for major U.S. cities from 2010 to 2019 showed the following trends:

• The national homicide rate declined from 4.8 per 100,000 people in 2010 to 4.5 per 100,000 in 2014.
• After 2014, there was an upward trend in homicide rates, which began in 2015.
• By 2019, the homicide rate had increased to 6.0 per 100,000 people. (It’s important to note that these figures represent national averages, and individual cities experienced varying rates) https://www.disastercenter.com/crime/uscrime.htm https://counciloncj.org/homicide-trends-report/ https://usafacts.org/articles/which-states-have-the-highest-murder-rates/

Crime rates after GF:

Homicide Based on the search results, a general average for homicide rates in the United States from 2020 to 2024 can be summarized as follows:

• 2020: 6.42 per 100,000 people
• 2021: 6.81 per 100,000 people
• 2022-2024: Declining trend, with rates approaching pre-pandemic levels
• 2024 (first half): On track to return to levels close to 2019 (While an exact average for the entire period isn’t provided, the general range appears to be between 6.0 and 7.0 per 100,000 people, with a peak in 2021 and a subsequent decline towards pre-pandemic levels.) https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-did-u-s-homicides-spike-in-2020-and-then-decline-rapidly-in-2023-and-2024/ https://counciloncj.org/crime-trends-in-u-s-cities-mid-year-2024-update/ https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/USA/united-states/murder-homicide-rate

edited for lame-o formatting and removed some weird percentages from notes I didn’t finish looking up and therefore the stats weren’t complete and not referenced either.